MICHAEL O. ALLEN

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Obama

Evan Bayh and the L-word.

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There has been a lot of buzz lately about Sen. Evan Bayh’s chances of winding up at Obama’s VP. Along with that buzz has come a lot of grumbling from the NetRoots about Bayh’s centrism and DLC past. That makes today’s post from stathead Nate Silver a must-read. Money quote:

Bayh is considerably more liberal than you would expect of a Democrat from Indiana. The most conservative states to presently have elected Democratic senators are Indiana, Nebraska, and Arkansas (which has two Democrats). Bayh is notably more liberal than either Nebraska’s Ben Nelson, or Arkansas’ Mark Pryor and Blanche Lincoln. The next-most conservative states with Democratic senators are Louisiana and South Dakota; Bayh is more liberal than Tim Johnson or Mary Landrieu. Put differently, there is no senator more liberal than Bayh in any state more conservative than Indiana.

Cross-posted from Facebook

Political news roundup

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On His 47th Birthday, Obama Is All Business CBS News
(CHICAGO) – It’s Barack Obama’s 47th birthday, but from his campaign schedule you wouldn’t know it. Obama will hit the trail today to kick off what the campaign is calling “Energy Week.

Obama proposes tapping oil reserves to drive down gas prices AP

LANSING, Mich. – In a reversal, Barack Obama is proposing the government sell 70 million barrels of oil from its strategic petroleum stockpiles.

AP: Poll: McCain’s attack strategy paying dividends
Intensified attacks by Republican John McCain on the character of his Democratic opponent have coincided with Barack Obama losing a nine percentage point advantage in a national poll, which showed the candidates running dead even over the weekend.

CNN: Is McCain’s ‘Celeb’ ad accurate?
John McCain’s campaign got a lot of attention last week for its ad that likens Barack Obama to Britney Spears and Paris Hilton. The ad calls Obama “the biggest celebrity in the world,” but asks, “Is he ready to lead.” In addition to the flashy imagery, the ad also claims that Obama would raise taxes on electricity. But is that claim true? CNN’s Josh Levs reports.

Oil Futures Flat Despite Storm, Iran By CAROLYN CUI, Wall Street Journal
NEW YORK — Crude-oil futures were flat in jumpy trading Monday, as the latest Gulf of Mexico storm was seen causing little damage and traders kept Iran talks in abeyance.

McCain visiting motorcycle rally, nuke power plant AP

WASHINGTON – Republican presidential candidate John McCain hopes to enhance his appeal to blue-collar voters and those in the Northern Plains with a visit to a giant motorcycle rally in South Dakota.

A good Obama comebacker

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“Pocket” TV Ad

Obama unveils energy plan, new attacks on McCain

(CNN) — Barack Obama’s campaign released a television ad Monday that calls for a windfall profits tax and accuses John McCain of being in the pocket of big oil.

The ad charges that major oil companies have donated $2 million to McCain’s campaign and says that “after one president in the pocket of big oil, we can’t afford another.”

McCain surrogate and former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney on Monday blasted the ad as being “dishonest.”

“That’s really sad,” he said on CNN’s “American Morning.” “I didn’t know that Obama had stooped to dishonesty.”

Romney said it was dishonest because corporations cannot give contributions to candidates and because employees of oil companies have also donated to Obama.

The Washington Post reported that McCain received $1.1 million from oil and gas industry executives and employees in June — three-quarters of which came after he called for lifting the ban on offshore drilling on June 16.

Obama’s ad sources the Washington Post and the Center for Responsive Politics, which showed that Obama has received about $345,000 from the oil and gas industry this year.

Under Obama’s proposal for a windfall profits tax, the government would tax some of the profits from big oil corporations and use it to provide a $1,000 rebate to people struggling with high energy costs.

Obama’s ad comes as he kicks of “Energy Week” — with stops planned in Ohio and Indiana where gas prices and rising heat bills will be on the agenda.

Obama travels to battleground Michigan on Monday to unveil details on his energy policy.

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A question that needs to be asked

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The former New York City Public Advocate Mark Green (and a man who has run every office under sun in New York State) asks a pertinent question:

What about McCain’s character? By MARK GREEN, Monday, August 4th 2008

Pundits on the the talk shows say that the ’08 election is all about Barack Obama: Can he pass the commander in chief test and avoid gaffes and reassure white voters? But another question is whether John McCain can pass the character test.

So far, he’s failing.

What? A bona fide war hero and POW survivor is being questioned about character?

Well, yes. It’s time that McCain and his acolytes stopped assuming that his extraordinary military service nearly 40 years ago gives him immunity to questions about being President today in a different century.

First, there is the unpleasant fact that in the past week McCain has sounded more like Joseph McCarthy in his patriotism-baiting of Obama. When he repeatedly says that Obama “would rather lose a war in order to win a political campaign,” he’s imputing a political motive that he can’t know and that is contradicted by the available evidence.

Continue . . .

‘Distortion, Innuendo, and Outright Slander’

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That’s how New York Magazine describes the latest phase of John McCain’s campaign against Sen. Barack Obama for the presidency. McCain’s campaign has devolved into a childish, name-calling, wallow in the mud series of taunts.

Some in the media will now say that this is not the John McCain they know, that he is doing something different than they expected of him. But this is the true and only McCain. He is a craven, petty, volatile manchild unsuited for the office of the presidency. The press was just too busy currying favor with him to notice.

If the press is going to be sporadic in their duty of holding the candidates accountable for their campaigns, where do you go to get the truth?

A Modest Proposal on Offshore Drilling for Oil

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Obama Shifts, Says He May Back Offshore Drilling by MIKE GLOVER, , August 1, 2008
(AP Photo/Mike Carlson: Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill. answers an audience member’s question, Friday, Aug. 1, 2008, during a town hall meeting in St. Petersburg, Fla.)

ST. PETERSBURG, Fla. — Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama said Friday he would be willing to support limited additional offshore oil drilling if that’s what it takes to enact a comprehensive policy to foster fuel-efficient autos and develop alternate energy sources.

Shifting from his previous opposition to expanded offshore drilling, the Illinois senator told a Florida newspaper he could get behind a compromise with Republicans and oil companies to prevent gridlock over energy.

Republican rival John McCain, who earlier dropped his opposition to offshore drilling, has been criticizing Obama on the stump and in broadcast ads for clinging to his opposition as gasoline prices topped $4 a gallon. Polls indicate these attacks have helped McCain gain ground on Obama.

“My interest is in making sure we’ve got the kind of comprehensive energy policy that can bring down gas prices,” Obama said in an interview with The Palm Beach Post.

“If, in order to get that passed, we have to compromise in terms of a careful, well thought-out drilling strategy that was carefully circumscribed to avoid significant environmental damage _ I don’t want to be so rigid that we can’t get something done.”

I imagine everyone who read the above news dispatch was as disappointed as I was to hear Sen. Obama pander this way. I thought Obama, of all people could be on the better side of angels on this issue and point out that any oil that we get from drilling offshore, like in ANWR:

1). is likely to be negligible;

2). will not come online to help us out of the current energy crisis;

3). there’s no guarantee that Exxon and the other cartels would sell anything that is found there to American consumers;

4). if oil is found, it’s just more revenue for the oil cartels that are now funding John McCain’s campaign of personal destruction against Obama;

There are more sensible arguments that could be made against the Republican trope of drilling offshore in the U.S. as answer to challenges to our sources of energy. Obama, I thought, would be the person to make the argument. Unfortunately, since Sen. Obama has now let this pander genie out of its bottle, we should make the best of it.

Before I lay out my modest proposal, I should say that I don’t know anything about oil, I don’t begin to understand peak oil, and that my proposal has been thoroughly panned by everyone I have told it to. And let me also add that I realize that there is no consensus on any remedy to skyrocketing gas prices.

That said, here is my modest proposal:

If drill in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge (ANWR ) we must, then all the oil we get from such exploration must be added to our Strategic Petroleum Reserve (more than 700 million barrels of crude oil that are stored in a series of caverns along the coast of the Gulf of Mexico) and kept for the nation’s emergency oil needs. Created after the 1973-74 oil embargo as a way to counter the impact a natural disaster, terrorist attack or massive embargo might have on this country’s economy, the national stockpile of oil was tapped in 1991, 2000 and 2005.

Here is how I propose to do it:

Form a national consortium to be funded by all the oil cartels. They will provide the personnel, resources, research and technology to explore and exploit this endeavor. The best part about this is that they will do it for free without any of the proceeds going to them. Their reward for doing this is to not be known as the rapacious scumbags that they are.

Such a plan will meet tremendous opposition from everywhere, especially the oil lobby. It will take tremendous courage for a politician to propose and for Congress to enact such a plan. So, why not set a up a commission to set up precisely how to implement such a plan. The only condition is that all the oil must go to the national reserve and that the cost for funding this endeavor come from the combined profits of all the oil cartels.

There, I’ve said it, up to you to debate the merits of my proposal.

Who’s the Dark Horse?

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Michael Allen asked me whether I can think of any potential running-mates for Obama who: (1) hails from the West; (2) fits the Jim Webb profile; and (3) doesn’t offend any traditional Democratic constituencies.

That’s easy: Chet Edwards.

Edwards is Nancy Pelosi’s choice for vice-president. He’s a nine-term centrist congressman from Waco, Texas. He used to represent Fort Hood and is well respected by military leaders and veterans’ groups.

The Dallas Morning News has published an editorial supporting an Obama-Edwards ticket, and here are five reasons why Edwards should be Obama’s VP pick.

You can find plenty of Chet Edwards on YouTube.

I think that he’d be an excellent choice.

I also think that Obama has several terrific options. Mike’s question is premised on a belief that Kaine or Sebelius would be bad choices because either one would offend Hillary supporters — Kaine because he’s supposedly pro-life and Sebelius because she’s a woman who’s not Hillary. I don’t agree. All of the top-tier candidates have pluses and minuses. None of them, with the possible exception of Al Gore, would have an enormous upside, and none of them would be a huge mistake.

Kaine is becoming the conventional-wisdom best choice. My guess is that he’ll get the nod if Obama is tied or ahead in the polls when he makes his choice. If, on the other hand, he’s behind in the polls at that point, he’ll try to make a bigger splash by choosing a woman (probably Sebelius) or a dark horse (like Chet Edwards).

Cross-posted from Facebook.

Here it Comes.

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According to Time’s Mark Halperin, Sen. McCain’s campaign has just released a statement accusing Sen. Obama of playing “the race card:”

“Barack Obama has played the race card, and he played it from the bottom of the deck. It’s divisive, negative, shameful and wrong.”

This is apparently a reference to Obama’s comments in Missouri Wednesday that Republicans are trying to make voters “scared” of him by noting “he doesn’t look like all those other presidents on those dollar bills.”

Read the full statement here.

Cross-posted from Facebook.

Why Britney and Paris?

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Today’s post from Newsday’s John Riley is a must-read. He wonders why Sen. McCain chose to use Britney Spears and Paris Hilton in his latest attack ad on Sen. Obama, and he’s got some data to support his answer.

It’s also worth remembering that the McCain campaign has hired Terry Nelson, the ad man behind the infamous bimbo ad against Harold Ford, Jr. in 2006.

Maybe the question ought not to be “Why Britney and Paris?” but “Why not Hannah Montana?” Wouldn’t she have made the point more effectively?

Cross-posted from Facebook.

How I’m Learning to Relax

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By reading Sadly, No!, that’s how:

Upon becoming president, Hussein Obama X’s very first act — after freeing Mumia, signing a reparations bill and implementing Sharia law, of course — should be to oust every single unqualified hack that Bush hired right out of Regent University and banish them from ever working again in any job. God knows how many more of them are out there.